By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Affected person readers, I had a liquid lunch and, fairly frankly, I’m plotzed. I’ll make it as much as you tomorrow, I swear! –lambert

Hen Track of the Day

Spectacled Finch, Seri Paya, North-West Frontier, Pakistan.

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Politics

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Biden Administration

The Blob speaks:

I just like the crimson background; artwork director editorializing a bit bit, there.

2024

Time for the Countdown Clock!

Solely 5 extra days till a full yr to election day!

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“Liberals, Begin Giving Biden Some Rattling Credit score” [Michael Tomasky (of course), The New Republic (of course)]. “Biden’s well timed present of assist was nearly the one one I can consider the place a sitting president so overtly sided with labor in such a dispute.” • Sure, the railroad staff ought to be sure that their contract negotiations occur in an election yr, so Democrats don’t have any incentive to betray them. Is Tomasky a bit baby?

“Step apart Hillary, Joe Biden could turn into king of e mail scandals as new stash alarms investigators” [Just the News]. “Beneath authorized stress, the Nationwide Archives has confirmed to a courtroom that it has positioned 82,000 pages of emails that Biden despatched or obtained throughout his vice presidential tenure on three non-public pseudonym accounts. … [I]n Could 2016, Biden’s vice presidential employees despatched an e mail to Joe Biden’s non-public account and copied Hunter Biden alerting the long run first son that his father was having a telephone briefing with Petro Poroshenko, the president of Ukraine, the place Hunter Biden had substantial enterprise with the power agency Burisma Holdings. ‘Boss–8:45am prep for 9am telephone name with Pres Poroshenko. Then we’re off to Rhode Island for infrastructure occasion after which Wilmington for UDel graduation,’ the staffer wrote the then-vice president. ‘Nate could have your draft remarks delivered later tonight or together with your press clips within the morning.’” • Oh. That’s good.

Republican Funhouse

“Mike Johnson is a pro-gun Christian nationalist. Sure, be afraid” [WaPo]. “Certainly, Johnson acquired proper to work mixing church and state in his first speech after he received the speakership. ‘I imagine that scripture, the Bible could be very clear: that God is the one which raises up these in authority,’ he stated from the pulpit — er, the Home rostrum. ‘And I imagine that God has ordained and allowed every considered one of us to be introduced right here for this particular second.’” • Superior. Someone ought to ask Johnson why God raised up FDR or, for that matter, Lenin. The remainder of this text is a totally unserious listicle of liberal Democrat reactance.

Democrats en Déshabillé

Affected person readers, plainly individuals are really studying the back-dated put up! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are lots of updates. So I should try this. –lambert

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated put up, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “stay” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, actually, a tough drawback. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working elements of the Celebration reinforce one another. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Celebration (ka-ching, however not solely) these components comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.

Be aware, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

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Realignment and Legitimacy

No:

The time for Sanders to have pivoted to labor was instantly after the Night time of the Lengthy Knives, when the labor pot was not solely boiling, however labor confronted the onset of Covid, as I urged contemporaneously (however can’t discover as a result of [family blogging] Google is 100% crapified. Now it’s method too late. Don’t give him a dime.

#COVID19

“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reviews); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep protected on the market!

* * *

Maskstravaganza

“Masks Throughout Pandemics Attributable to Respiratory Pathogens—Proof and Implications for Motion” [JAMA]. From the Summary: “Sturdy out there knowledge assist the usage of face masks in group settings to cut back transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and will inform future responses to epidemics and pandemics brought on by respiratory viruses.” • IOW, HICPAC’s “proof overview” on masking is filled with sh*t, as I argued on the time. What a shock!

“One thing Terrible”

Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” is likely to be a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. Plenty of exceptionally nasty sequelae, almost certainly deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we’d add mind injury, together with persona modifications therefrom.

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Elite Maleficence

I linked to this yesterday, however it’s essential that Jimenez picked it up:

* * *

Case Knowledge

NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater knowledge, October 30:

Lambert right here: Instances leveling out to a excessive plateau wasn’t on my Bingo card. And Thanksgiving is developing.

Regional knowledge:

Variants

NOT UPDATED From CDC, October 28:

Lambert right here: Prime of the leaderboard: HV.1, EG.5 a powerful second, with FL.1.15.1 and XBB.1.1.16.6 trailing. No BA.2.86 (though that has confirmed up in CDC’s airport testing). Nonetheless a Bouillabaisse…

From CDC, October 14:

Lambert right here: I positive hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services reduce by directors of ailing intent).

CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge shall be reported biweekly, based mostly on the supply of constructive take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Seems like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

Covid Emergency Room Visits

From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, October 28:

Lambert right here: Flattening. Solely per week’s lag, so this can be our greatest present nationwide, present indicator till Verily will get its home so as (and dealing class-centric, since I’d doubt the higher crust goes to the ER).

NOTE “Charts and knowledge supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the whole pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is suitable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, not less than for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, despite the fact that CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections.

Hospitalization

Bellwether New York Metropolis, knowledge as of October 31:

Flattened, (I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading, though the hospital-centric public well being institution loves it, hospitalization and deaths being the one metrics that matter [snort]).

NOT UPDATED Right here’s a unique CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, not less than. October 21:

Lambert right here: “Maps, charts, and knowledge supplied by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”. So the place the heck is the replace, CDC?

Positivity

NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, October 30:

1.3%. Improve. (It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer stress, went and acquired examined anyhow.)

NOT UPDATED From Cleveland Clinic, October 28:

Lambert right here: Slight enhance. I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is sweet*, and we’re starved for knowledge, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is making an attempt to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.

NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s knowledge, October 9:

Down, albeit within the rear view mirror. And listed here are the variants for vacationers:

Sudden large BA.2.86 look.

Deaths

NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, September 27:

Lambert right here: The WHO knowledge is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Knowledge Tracker. Their technique: “These knowledge have been sourced, by way of the API from the CDC: https://knowledge.cdc.gov/NCHS/Situations-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Knowledge are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that exhibits a complete of the three causes (prime proper). Readers?

Whole: 1,180,669 – 1,180,405 = 264 (264 * 365 = 96,360 deaths per yr, at this time’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit greater than the minimizers would really like, although they will speak themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may must determine that is what the powers-that-be think about “mission achieved” for this explicit tranche of loss of life and illness). 

Extra Deaths

The Economist, October 27:

Lambert right here: Primarily based on a machine-learning mannequin.

Stats Watch

Employment State of affairs: “United States ADP Employment Change” [Trading Economics]. “Non-public companies in the USA added 113,000 staff to their payrolls in October 2023, barely under market expectations of a 150,000 enhance and following a earlier acquire of 89,000. Nonetheless, job beneficial properties continued to exceed the 70,000-100,000 vary required every month to accommodate the rising working-age inhabitants, suggesting that the labor market is certainly exhibiting indicators of gradual leisure however stays strong, even within the face of the Federal Reserve’s tightening measures.” Powell’s rubber thumbscrews….

Employment State of affairs: “United States Job Openings” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of job openings elevated by 56,000 from the earlier month to 9.55 million in September 2023, reaching the best stage in 4 months and exceeding the market consensus of 9.25 million.”

Manufacturing: “United States ISM Buying Managers Index (PMI)” [Trading Economics]. “The ISM Manufacturing PMI slipped to 46.7 in October of 2023 from the 10-month excessive of 49 within the earlier month, nicely under expectations of 49, pointing to the eleventh consecutive contraction within the US manufacturing sector. The info underscored the impression of upper borrowing prices from the Federal Reserve within the sector, additional difficult the resilience of US items producers from different reviews.”

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Immediately’s Concern & Greed Index: 32 Concern (earlier shut: 30 Concern) [CNN]. One week in the past: 27 (Concern). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Nov 1 at 1:42:06 PM ET.

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Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of vegetation. Greens are positive! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! In order for you your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From PR:

PR writes: “Creepy AI-generated vegetable zombie pic, in case Lambert desires a plant pic for halloween. Grainnnzzz!” Blissful post-Halloween!

And parallel to the “humorous greens” in Terry Pratchett’s The Fact, this from Desert Canine:

Desert Canine feedback: “Getting married…. Household weblog.”

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